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Wednesday, March 01, 2006

Australia's Divorce rate

The most often quote stat which has very little backing is that 50% of marriages end in divorce. Journalists, commentators and people like them who don't really have a clue quote this statistic endlessly. The truth is far different. Taking a new-born population (therefore unmarried) the actual number of divorces would be around 32% of all their marriages. The reason why is the marriage rate is measured in terms of single people marrying and divorce rate is measured as the number of married people divorcing. Wikipedia's article on the subject is very enlightening.

And another thing, someone was suggesting the other day that most children are now growing up in single child households. Absolute crap. The majority of children are currently and will continue for sometime, to live a family with at least one sibling. In order for children with no siblings to over take those with siblings, the number of single child households would have to out number multiple child households by a ratio greater than two to one. So despite the fact that single child households are increasing, they need to reach a level above 70% for the majority of children to have no siblings. It is one of the reasons why it is reasonable easy to find people who grew up in large families.

1 Comments:

  • At 3:56 am, March 05, 2006, Blogger Caitlin said…

    Actually the 50% statistic comes from the US, where people are far more likely to get married multiple times rather than cohabit. The divorce rate in Australia in raw terms is about 30%.

     

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